Frequency of daily tooth brushing: predictors of change in 9- to 11-year old US children.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether an increase in daily tooth brushing frequency in children was predicted by either a) having a strong intention to brush twice a day or b) their parents receiving information about their new caries experience. BASIC RESEARCH DESIGN: Secondary data analyses were conducted on two waves of data from the Aban Aya Youth Project and the Iowa Fluoride Study. PARTICIPANTS: The Aban Aya study included 576 10- and 11-year olds from Chicago, Illinois. The Iowa Fluoride Study included a convenience sample of 709 babies born in Iowa. The present study includes those children at age 9. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: In both studies, reported daily tooth brushing frequency was assessed twice six months apart. RESULTS: In the Aban Aya data, compared with children with a weak intention at wave 1 to brush twice a day, children with a strong intention to brush twice a day were more likely to increase their brushing frequency by wave 2, OR 7.0, 95%CI 1.5,32.9. In the Iowa Fluoride Study, compared with children who did not have new caries at wave 1, children who had new caries experience were less likely to increase their brushing frequency by wave 2, OR 0.4, 95%CI 0.2,0.9. CONCLUSIONS: Strengthening intention to brush twice a day might increase children's brushing frequency. However, simply providing parents with information about new caries probably will not. Future studies should assess tooth brushing frequency, habit strength, intention, and situational cues at closely-spaced waves.

Outcome of a tobacco use cessation randomized trial with high-school students.

This study analyzed quantitative data on tobacco use and dependency for 3,589 high-school students, qualitative data for 448 students, and outcome data for a randomized trial comparing the efficacy of two cessation interventions and a control condition for 337 students. Data were collected from 1988 through 1992 in California and Illinois as part of a larger longitudinal study. Smokeless tobacco users, but not smokers, were more likely than controls to maintain cessation for 4 months: biochemically validated cessation at 4 months was 6.5% versus 3.2% for smokers and 14.3% versus 0.0% for smokeless tobacco users. Implications and limitations are discussed.

Covariates of tooth-brushing frequency in low-income African Americans from grades 5 to 8.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to examine tooth-brushing frequency in 575 urban and nearby suburban African American children as part of a comprehensive risk-reduction study for students at high risk for violence, drugs, school delinquency, and unsafe sexual behaviors to determine which covariates predicted tooth-brushing frequency. METHODS: Students were surveyed 5 times, from the beginning of grade 5 and the end of each year through grade 8, and parents were surveyed at the beginning of grade 5. Peer influence, importance of being liked, self-esteem, attitudes towards tooth-brushing, oral health knowledge, self-efficacy, parental attitudes, and other covariates were examined for the ability to predict self-reporting of tooth-brushing frequency. RESULTS: In the fifth grade, peer influence, the importance of being liked, and physical self-esteem were the significant predictors, and peer influence continued to predict tooth-brushing in the eighth grade. Oral health knowledge and parental influence were not significant. CONCLUSION: Peer influence is an important factor in tooth-brushing behavior in metropolitan African American preadolescent children.

Effects of the Positive Action program on achievement and discipline: two matched-control comparisons.

This paper reports on the effectiveness of an integrated comprehensive school model for character development, problem behavior prevention, and academic achievement enhancement. The Positive Action program consists of a school curriculum, together with schoolwide climate, family, and community components. As evaluated here, the yearly K-6 curriculum consists of over 140 fifteen-to-twenty-minute lessons per year delivered in school classrooms on an almost daily basis. The program is based on theories of self-concept, learning, behavior, and school ecology. We use a matched control design and school-level achievement and disciplinary data to evaluate program effects on student performance and behavior in two separate school districts. The program improved achievement by 16% in one district and 52% in another, and reduced disciplinary referrals by 78% in one district and 85% in the other. We discuss implications of these replicated findings for the prevention of substance abuse and violence, the improvement of school performance, and the reform of American schools.

Identifying trajectories of adolescent smoking: an application of latent growth mixture modeling.

The goal of the current study was to identify discrete longitudinal patterns of change in adolescent smoking using latent growth mixture modeling. Five distinct longitudinal patterns were identified. A group of early rapid escalators was characterized by early escalation (at age 13) that rapidly increased to heavy smoking. A pattern characterized by occasional puffing up until age 15, at which time smoking escalated to moderate levels was also identified (late moderate escalators). Another group included adolescents who, after age 15, began to escalate slowly in their smoking to light (0.5 cigarettes per month) levels (late slow escalators). Finally, a group of stable light smokers (those who smoked 1-2 cigarettes per month) and a group of stable puffers (those who smoked only a few puffs per month) were also identified. The stable puffer group was the largest group and represented 25% of smokers.

The protective influence of parents and peers in violence avoidance among African-American youth.

OBJECTIVES: This study attempted to provide further insight into the roles of parents and peers as they influence youth involvement with violence. Specifically, this paper considers whether parents who are close to their children have children who affiliate with prosocial friends who may in turn serve as a buffer against violence. This study also considers how parent and peer influences may change as youth transition to adolescence. METHODS: A cross-sectional health behavior survey was administered to 384 low-income, African-American youth aged 10-15 from three Chicago area schools. Structural equation models (SEM) were developed to assess the impact of youth reported prosocial friends and parental closeness on violence involvement. The overall model was tested to examine equivalence across preadolescent and adolescent age-groupings. RESULTS: Results from the overall model indicated that parental closeness did not have a direct influence on youth violence involvement, but having a close parent-child relationship improved the youth's ability to select prosocial friends, which was directly related to decreased involvement with violence. Differences in the model by age-grouping suggested the presence of prosocial friends was a stronger factor for adolescent violence avoidance when compared to preadolescents. CONCLUSIONS: Parents can make a difference in the way in which their children choose their friends and therefore get involved with violence by maintaining a closely bonded relationship throughout preadolescence and adolescence. The importance of this closely bonded relationship has even greater effects for decreasing violence involvement for adolescents than preadolescents.

Approaches to substance use prevention utilizing school curriculum plus social environment change.

Hundreds of studies have tested the efficacy or effectiveness of school curriculum-based (CB) substance use prevention programs. Over the years, various researchers have also tested programs that included school curricula, but with the addition of school environment, family, mass media, or community components. The purpose of this review is to determine the extent to which adding any of these components to CB programs improves overall program effectiveness in the prevention of substance use (SU).

Stages in the development of adolescent smoking.

Many researchers have conceptualized smoking uptake behavior in adolescence as progressing through a sequence of developmental stages. Multiple social, psychological, and biological factors influence this process, and may play different functions at different points in the progression, and play different roles for different people. The major objective of this paper is to review empirical studies of predictors of transitions in stages of smoking progression, and identify similarities and differences related to predictors of stages and transitions across studies. While a number of factors related to stage of progression replicated across studies, few variables uniquely predicted a particular stage or transition in smoking behavior. Subsequently, theoretical considerations related to stage conceptualization and measurement, inter-individual differences in intra-individual change, and the staged or continuous nature of smoking progression are discussed.

Characteristics associated with exposure to and participation in a televised smoking cessation intervention program for women with high school or less education.

OBJECTIVES: This paper estimates the prevalence of exposure to and participation in a televised smoking cessation intervention targeting women with high school or less education and describes characteristics related to exposure and participation. METHODS: A random sample of the population of female smokers with high school or less education in the Chicago metropolitan area was used to estimate the prevalence of exposure to a targeted smoking cessation intervention with television and booklet components (n = 722). Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to examine characteristics related to exposure to each component and participation, defined as simultaneous use of both components, in a sample of population and registrants combined (n = 1,727). RESULTS: About one of every four women in the target population either saw the television series or called for the booklet (24.5%); 17.5% saw the television series, 9.4% called for the booklet, and 2.4% both saw the television series and called for the booklet. Independent predictors of booklet exposure were black, older age, annual income $40,000 or less, heavier smoking, and higher stage of readiness to quit. Adjusting for booklet exposure, independent predictors of television exposure were older age and nonblack. Independent predictors of participation were black, older age, and higher stage of readiness to quit. CONCLUSIONS: The intervention reached a substantial portion of low-educated female smokers. Women who were older, black, or at higher stages of readiness to quit were most likely to be exposed and to participate. Heavier smokers or lower income women were most likely to be exposed but not necessarily to participate.

Characteristics of inconsistent respondents who have "ever used" drugs in a school-based sample.

This study examines the predictors of inconsistent responses from adolescents to questions about whether they ever used alcohol, cigarettes, and marijuana. Male adolescents had significantly higher rates of inconsistent responses than female adolescents. Black and Hispanic adolescents had significantly higher rates of inconsistent responses regarding ever using alcohol and cigarettes (only for Black) than White adolescents. The subjects' living status and academic achievements were significant predictors of inconsistent responses regarding ever using marijuana. Thus, these results are consistent with the notion that inconsistent responses may bias the estimation of the prevalence of ever using drugs in multivariate analyses.

Psychosocial risk and protective factors for adolescent tobacco use.

Knowledge of risk and protective factors for adolescent tobacco use will lead to the development of improved intervention strategies to reduce/prevent tobacco use. Theory and empirical findings demonstrate the multivariate complexity of the etiology of tobacco use. Sociocultural, social/interpersonal, and intrapersonal factors act through mediated chains of ultimate, distal, and proximal influences. Some influences moderate the effects of others. Once tobacco is used, feedback mechanisms modify prior causes that in turn alter subsequent tobacco use behavior. Most theories and cross-sectional, prospective, and causal process studies have contained major limitations: (a) most addressed only small portions of the total picture; (b) most mediational studies did not test for interactions and most moderation studies are based on limited theory (if any); and (c) most theories do not discuss how the causal processes might be different for males and females or for different ethnic groups (special cases of moderation). Furthermore, few studies focused on more distal or ultimate influences or examined multi-stream patterns, and few theories or causal process studies have specified or tested feedback loops. Determining psychosocial risk factors and how they influence tobacco use faces several major challenges, including discovering complex mediating processes, moderating variables, and overcoming limitations of surveys and theory. We offer six recommendations to advance transdisciplinary tobacco-prevention research: (a) base future studies on strong theory and aim to test one or more theories or theoretically derived hypotheses; (b) collect four or more waves of data and adopt dynamic strategies of prediction and analysis, including interactions, indirect effects, feedback loops, and transitions from one level of tobacco use to another; (c) provide evidence of generalizability to sub-populations within the study sample, such as by gender, ethnic group, and socioeconomic status; (d) use high-quality measures and multiple methodologies, including non-panel longitudinal studies, intensive interview, ethnography, experimental intervention, and small exploratory studies as well as further prospective studies; (e) include variables from multiple streams of influence to investigate interrelationships among cultural, social, and intrapersonal factors; and (f) collect data from multiple nested units (e.g., children within families, within schools, within neighborhoods) and employ multi-level analysis methods to investigate interrelationships among ultimate, distal, and proximal variables.

Reasons for quitting and smoking temptation among adolescent smokers: gender differences.

Adolescent cigarette smokers from randomly selected classrooms from 24 California and Illinois high schools were assessed regarding their interest in cessation, reasons for quitting, and smoking temptation circumstances. These data were analyzed by gender. Males and females were not found to differ in quit stage or perceived likelihood of ever quitting smoking, although males reported being somewhat more likely to have ever tried to quit in the past. The associations of reasons for quitting were not found to vary by gender in most comparisons. On the other hand, the associations of smoking temptation circumstances with gender showed that a greater percentage of females than males reported more circumstances that would make them tempted to smoke. Smoking cigarettes to regulate one's affective states, and to avoid nicotine withdrawal, may be functions of smoking that impede efforts at quitting, particularly among adolescent females.

Psychosocial predictors of different stages of cigarette smoking among high school students.

BACKGROUND: Current research on the etiology of cigarette smoking has largely focused on the identification of psychosocial predictors of tobacco onset. Few data are available on the predictors of different stages of smoking among adolescents. The present study examines the psychosocial predictors of different stages of smoking, including trial, experimental, and regular use, among high school students. METHOD: The predictor variables were measured when the students were in the 7th grade. Logistic regression was used to predict different smoking stages at grade 12. RESULTS: The results show that four domains of psychosocial variables, including social and interpersonal factors, attitudinal and belief factors, intrapersonal factors, and use of other substances, predicted one or more stages of smoking. The important correlates of transition from trial to experimental use (all P value <0.001) included friends' smoking and approval, cigarette offers by friends, smoking intentions, school grade, and alcohol and marijuana use. The significant predictors of the transition from experimental to regular use included only parental smoking (P < 0.01) and family conflicts (P < 0.05). We found some gender differences in these predictors. CONCLUSIONS: Psychosocial predictors may differ by different stages of smoking.

Self-initiated quitting among adolescent smokers.

OBJECTIVES: This paper reviews the literature regarding predictors of adolescent self-initiated smoking cessation and investigates self-initiated smoking cessation among a large sample of alternative high school youth in southern California. Youth transfer to alternative schools because of academic or behavioral problems, and they are at relatively high risk for cigarette smoking. METHODS: Several demographic (e.g., gender), behavioral (e.g., level of smoking), and psychosocial (e.g., risk-taking) predictors of adolescent smoking cessation were investigated. The alternative high school cohort provided a sufficient sample size of quitters (defined as no use in the past 30 days, measured after a 1-year period) to permit a prospective examination of adolescent smoking cessation. RESULTS: Although nine demographic, behavioral, or psychosocial variables discriminated among quitters and nonquitters in univariate analyses, only level of baseline smoking, smoking intention, and perceived stress were predictors in a final multivariable model. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the literature review and findings among the cohort, smoking cessation programs for adolescents should include counteraction of problem-prone attitudes, support of wellness attitudes, provision of motivation to quit strategies, and assistance with overcoming withdrawal symptoms.

Illicit substance use among adolescents: a matrix of prospective predictors.

This paper reviews findings from 58 prospective studies of illicit substance use (ISU) among adolescents. It arranges 384 findings according to three types of influence (viz., social, attitudinal, and intrapersonal) and four levels of influence (viz., ultimate, distal, proximal, and immediate). The bulk of evidence reconfirms the importance of several predictors of ISU (e.g., intentions and prior substance-related behavior, friendship patterns and peer behaviors, absence of supportive parents, psychological temperament), reveals that a few variables thought to be well-established predictors may not be (e.g., parental behaviors, parental permissiveness, depression, low self-esteem), and uncovers several variables where findings were either sparse or inconsistent (e.g., the role of public policies concerning ISU, mass media depictions of ISU, certain parenting styles, affective states, perceptions of parental disapproval for ISU, and substance-specific refusal skills). Directions for future research are discussed.

Effects of a community-based prevention program on decreasing drug use in high-risk adolescents.

OBJECTIVES: This study investigated the secondary prevention effects of a substance abuse primary prevention program. METHODS: Logistic regression analyses were conducted on 4 waves of follow-up data from sixth- and seventh-grade baseline users of cigarettes, alcohol, and marijuana taking part in a school-based program in Indianapolis. RESULTS: The program demonstrated significant reductions in cigarette use at the initial follow-up (6 months) and alcohol use at the first 2 follow-ups (up to 1.5 years). Models considering repeated measures also showed effects on all 3 substances. CONCLUSIONS: Primary prevention programs are able to reach and influence high-risk adolescents in a nonstigmatizing manner.

Prospective psychosocial, interpersonal, and behavioral predictors of handgun carrying among adolescents.

OBJECTIVES: This study identified behavioral and psychosocial/interpersonal factors in young adolescence that are associated with handgun carrying in later adolescence. METHODS: A sample of 2200 high school students was surveyed at 9th grade and again at 12th grade. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression analyses indicated that measures of risk-taking preference, depression, stress, temper, and drug use assessed while the students were in 9th grade were predictive of handgun carrying in 12th grade for both male and female students. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest the need for a comprehensive approach to prevention that focuses on both individual and interpersonal factors associated with adolescents' decision to carry a handgun.

Comparison of population-averaged and subject-specific approaches for analyzing repeated binary outcomes.

Several approaches have been proposed to model binary outcomes that arise from longitudinal studies. Most of the approaches can be grouped into two classes: the population-averaged and subject-specific approaches. The generalized estimating equations (GEE) method is commonly used to estimate population-averaged effects, while random-effects logistic models can be used to estimate subject-specific effects. However, it is not clear to many epidemiologists how these two methods relate to one another or how these methods relate to more traditional stratified analysis and standard logistic models. The authors address these issues in the context of a longitudinal smoking prevention trial, the Midwestern Prevention Project. In particular, the authors compare results from stratified analysis, standard logistic models, conditional logistic models, the GEE models, and random-effects models by analyzing a binary outcome from two and seven repeated measurements, respectively. In the comparison, the authors focus on the interpretation of both time-varying and time-invariant covariates under different models. Implications of these methods for epidemiologic research are discussed.